McAfee released it prediction for year 2012 in Security world.
Interesting, is that document was created at 07.12.2011. And here is part regarding Hacktivism:
Although hacktivism is not new, with the WikiLeaks saga on the front pages in 2010 hacktivism gained wider publicity, acceptance, and usage than ever before. Overall, 2011 was a muddled year for online activists, with conflicting players frequently at odds with each other and no clearly stated goals. It was often difficult to sort things out between politically motivated campaigns and simple script-kiddies entertainment, but one thing became clear: When hacktivists picked a target, that target was compromised either through a data breach or denial of service. They are a credible force. Agree with their goals or not, Anonymous and other hacktivist groups have shown themselves to be dedicated, resourceful, and even agile in choosing some of their targets and operations.
The coming year will be decisive for hacktivism. And the Anonymous stories represent only one aspect of this issue.
* The “true” Anonymous (that is, its historical wing) will reinvent themselves and their scene or die out. If the Anonymous circles of influence are unable to become organized—with clear calls for action and responsibility claims—all those labeling themselves Anonymous will eventually run the risk of becoming marginalized. Either way, we will see a large increase in such attacks. Distributed denial of service (DDoS) and personal data disclosures justified by a political conscience will continue to grow.
* The people leading digital disruptions will become better engaged with the people leading physical demonstrations. We will see more mating of social media-based hacktivism with social media-coordinated hacktivism. We expect many future operations to include both physical and digital components. Joint and coordinated actions, in the field and online, will be simultaneously planned. It is not hard to predict the evolution of the Occupy and other outraged groups to include more direct digital actions. As we posited in other predictions, the possibility of mating hacktivist goals with industrial controller or SCADA system availability is a very real possibility. We expect hard-line hacktivists supporting the worldwide Occupy movements will drop the Anonymous label and soon operate as “Cyberoccupiers.”
* For political and ideological ends, the private lives of public figures—politicians, industry leaders, judges, and law-enforcement and security officers—will be disclosed this year more than in the past. Protesters will stop at nothing to obtain data from social networks or web servers to support their various operations.
* Some hacktivists will operate along the same lines as the various “cyberarmies” that primarily flourish in nondemocratic or nonsecular states (Iranian Cyber Army, Pakistan Cyber Army, ChinaHonker group, etc.). Mostly used for defacement in the past two years, the armies will move to more disruptive actions in the new year. Some of these groups will clash themselves, possibly causing unpredictable collateral damages (Palestinian versus Israeli, Indian versus Pakistani, North versus South Korean, etc.). In 2011, cyberarmies were rumored to be manipulated or supported by their governments. Totalitarian states will go further next year, even acknowledging the actions of local cyberarmies.
It was before Stratfor… At least 1 part is becoming true even before 2012 🙂